Name: Future Babble: Why Pundits are Hedgehogs and Foxes Know Best (en Inglés)
SKU: 9140278
Price: 34.48 USD
Availability: InStock
Author: Daniel Gardner

portada Future Babble: Why Pundits are Hedgehogs and Foxes Know Best (en Inglés)

Future Babble: Why Pundits are Hedgehogs and Foxes Know Best (en Inglés)

Formato

Libro Físico

Editorial

Penguin Lcc Us

Autor

Daniel Gardner

Año

2012

Idioma

Inglés

N° páginas

320

Encuadernación

Tapa Blanda

ISBN

0452297575

ISBN13

9780452297579

Categorías

Cognición y psicología cognitiva

Future Babble: Why Pundits are Hedgehogs and Foxes Know Best (en Inglés)

Daniel Gardner (Autor) · Penguin Lcc Us · Tapa Blanda

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Reseña del libro "Future Babble: Why Pundits are Hedgehogs and Foxes Know Best (en Inglés)"

New York Times bestselling author of Superforecasting and Future Babble"Genuinely arresting . . . required reading for journalists, politicians, academics, and anyone who listens to them."—Steven Pinker, author of How the Mind Works We are awash in predictions. In newspapers, blogs, and books; on radio and television. Every day experts tell us how the economy will perform next year, if housing sales will grow or shrink, and who will win the next election. Predictions are offered about the climate, food, technology, and the world our grandchildren will inhabit. And we can't get enough of it.Drawing on research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner explores our obsession with the future. He shows how famous pundits, "hedgehogs" who stick to one big idea no matter how circumstances change, become expert at explaining away predictions that are wrong while "foxes," who are more equivocal in their judgments, are simply more accurate.