portada Risk-Based Project Decisions in Situations of High Complexity and Deep Uncertainty (en Inglés)

Risk-Based Project Decisions in Situations of High Complexity and Deep Uncertainty (en Inglés)

Formato

Libro Físico

Autor

Yuri G. Raydugin

Editorial

Springer

Idioma

Inglés

N° páginas

394

Encuadernación

Tapa Dura

ISBN13

9783031569876

Categorías

Evaluación de riesgos
Seguros y estudios actuariales
Gestión y técnicas de gestión
Investigación operativa

Risk-Based Project Decisions in Situations of High Complexity and Deep Uncertainty (en Inglés)

Yuri G. Raydugin (Autor) · Springer · Tapa Dura

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Reseña del libro "Risk-Based Project Decisions in Situations of High Complexity and Deep Uncertainty (en Inglés)"

This book integrates for readers three areas of knowledge, pertaining to risk-based project decision making: project risk management (PRM), complexity theory, and decision-making under deep uncertainty (DMDU). Readers will appreciate that in practice, too often relevant complexity and uncertainty factors are either ignored or overlooked resulting in epic project failures. The author discusses a variety of methodologies and a decision-tree-type framework to determine why, when and how particular methodologies should be applied to ensure project success. These include nonlinear Monte Carlo techniques, a dynamic adaptive methodology to adapt to external environment changes, game theory for devising robust decision-making criteria, systems dynamics and cost escalation modelling, as well as risk-based & economic-based alternatives selection methodologies. This book will be an eye-opener for many PRM practitioners, helping to increase their chances of project success by properly handling inescapable project-complexity and deep-uncertainty implications in specific contexts.